Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRL) has been on investors’ radar in 2025. Its stock continues to fluctuate amid difficult economic conditions. As of Aug 21, 2025, its stock was trading at $51.53, down approximately 12.68% from its previous close price, creating a concern for investors.
Recent Financial Performance
In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, Cracker Barrel reported total revenue of $821.1 million, up 0.5% from the same period last year. The company returned to profit with net income of $12.6 million, or $0.56 per share, compared to a loss of $9.2 million last year. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.58, well above analysts’ estimate of $0.21.
Despite the positive earnings, same-store retail sales declined 3.8%, more than the 2.5% expected. However, comparable restaurant sales increased 1%, which was in line with expectations. The company maintained a full-year revenue forecast at $3.45-$3.5 billion and raised its adjusted EBITDA forecast to $215-$225 million.
Analyst Perspectives
Analysts have mixed opinions on Cracker Barrel stock. The average 12-month target price is $55.80 and the consensus rating is ‘Hold’. Some analysts see modest growth potential, while others remain cautious due to retail sector challenges and market volatility.
Market Conditions and External Factors
The broader market environment has been volatile due to factors such as trade tensions and inflation. Cracker Barrel’s gift shop business has been impacted by tariffs on Chinese goods, as most of its merchandise comes from China. The company estimates that these tariffs could reduce EBITDA by approximately $5 million in the next quarter.
Conclusion
Cracker Barrel stock presents an opportunity for cautious investors. The company has shown resilience with improved earnings, but challenges in the retail sector and external economic pressures need to be kept in mind. Investors who want stability can keep it on hold and wait for clear signs of continued improvement and growth in the company.
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